← Blog/AnalysisMarch 1, 2026

The Høiby Trial: What Happens Next?

Crown Princess Mette-Marit's son faces serious charges. We break down the case and what the prediction market says.

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Will Marius Borg Høiby be found guilty in his ongoing trial?

YES 63¢NO 38¢Trade this market →

Background

Marius Borg Høiby, the eldest son of Crown Princess Mette-Marit, faces charges including assault, criminal threats, and sexual violence. The case has captivated Norway since August 2024 when he was first arrested.

The Charges

The prosecution has brought multiple charges spanning incidents with different victims. The defense maintains that Høiby will be acquitted on the most serious charges.

What the Market Says

Our prediction market currently prices a guilty verdict as the most likely outcome. This reflects the weight of evidence presented during the preliminary hearings and the prosecution's extensive case file.

Key Dates to Watch

The trial is ongoing in 2026. A verdict is expected within months. The case has significant implications for the Norwegian royal family's public standing.


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