Will Norway's Eurovision 2026 entry finish in the top 5?

Norway's Melodi Grand Prix (MGP) selects the country's Eurovision representative tonight (Feb 27). This market focuses on the broader Eurovision performance — can Norway crack the top 5 in Basel? Norway has a strong Eurovision track record with three wins and multiple top-5 finishes (Keiino in 2019 finished 6th with the public vote record, Subwoolfer in 2022 finished 10th). The MGP winner will compete in the semi-finals in May, needing to qualify before reaching the grand final. Nordic entries have been strong in recent years. Resolves YES if Norway finishes top 5 in the Eurovision grand final. Resolves NO if Norway fails to qualify from semi-finals or finishes outside top 5.